With Chromebooks, are Linux-based netbooks dead?

As a longtime Linux user, I remember hearing about netbooks for the first time. It was an exciting feeling — finally, Linux will be able to beat Microsoft and that too on a completely new platform. However, when Windows-based netbooks started coming out, I was thoroughly disappointed. Microsoft had once again managed to monopolize an emerging market, paling Linux back into insignificance. Furthermore, just when we thought that the netbook market was growing, iPad took the industry by storm, becoming the quintessential secondary device. And, as if all that wasn’t enough, Google announced Chromebooks giving another massive blow to the already-dying netbook market. So, the question remains, is this the end of Linux-based netbooks? Seems like it is.

What went wrong for Linux

At the time when the concept of netbooks was new, Linux didn’t have a single user-interface that was truly netbook-ready. Of course, there was a feeble attempt by Canonical called UNE, but its stability left a lot to be desired. Many vendors and customers were unhappy with the Linux-based netbooks, resulting in numerous returns. Meanwhile, the ones loaded with Windows XP were selling like hot pancakes. It is not known as to why vendors started opting for Windows all of a sudden, but the change was, if not fishy, a game-changing one. Microsoft even ‘claimed’ in 2009 that 96 % of the netbooks were running Windows. And as if that wasn’t bad enough, Windows 7 came out, which was instantly adopted by many netbook manufacturers.

The changes in the netbook market were profound and people were already touting this as another success for Microsoft. However, this rapid growth was prematurely thwarted when Apple announced the iPad in 2010, making it an ideal secondary device. It is no big secret how rapidly iPad gobbled up netbook sales taking the market downwards. Of course, there is a big opportunity for netbooks in developing countries but there is not much evidence of them being successful in those markets.

Chromebooks vs Netbooks

Earlier we wrote an article which outlined the reasons why Chromebooks might become popular. Of course, those were just predictions; however, Chromebooks, successful or not, have a huge potential to decimate the netbooks industry. Chromebooks, by getting rid of the operating system, give a netbook user just what he or she wants — web browsing. Chrome OS does have its limitations as compared to Windows 7 or Ubuntu, but they are fast and stable which itself makes them a better product than a netbook. More importantly, a user doesn’t feel any significant drop in performance while using it.

Netbooks on the other hand are reported to have failure rates much higher than that of laptops. A consumer wouldn’t want to spend his or her hard-earned cash on such a device, instead, that person will opt for the simple, no-fuss Chromebooks. Also, the Google branding itself gives Chromebooks a huge edge over netbooks.

The future for Linux-based netbooks

As far as netbooks are considered, the future is ARM. Microsoft has announced that the next version of Windows will also run on the ARM platform. This decision secures Microsoft’s position as the top netbook operating system. However, that doesn’t imply that Microsoft is without any serious competition in this falling market. New players like Android and Jolibook are already gaining some recognition and if things go right, they might even pose a threat to MS-dominance. But, the fact remains that netbooks as a whole are on the decline, and there is hardly any chance that they’ll be able to take on big players like iPads, Chromebooks, and various tablets that are waiting to enter the market.

For Linux-based netbooks, the future is even more bleak as they have no chance of survival against these million dollar bigwigs. It might sound like a harsh assertion but Linux-based netbooks are either dead or already breathing their last. There are hardly any chances that Unity will be able to salvage this failed hero.

What’s your Opinion?

This, of course, is my opinion. What do you think about Linux-based netbooks? Are they dead? or do they have a chance of striking back? Feel free to challenge my views, or even start a flame war if you want in the comments section below.

Image Credits: crowolf

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  • Chris

     Not really a flame… I guess the premise is: Will my great great great grandmother buy a Linux based netbook?  My answer: same as always, no.

    However, if you are already Linux saavy, then access to an inexpensive fully accessible Linux based distribution is still a nice thing… so netbooks are valuable.  But there is still the question about the general marketability…. (of course).

    So… need wise, yes, true netbooks running a flexible and accessible Linux distribution are a very powerful and useful things.

    Business wise, producing cheap netbooks for a small market may mean that this all must go away (sad).

    • Anonymous

      Well yes, netbooks can appeal to the Linux-savvy crowd but I don’t think that would be a good reason for vendors like Samsung or Acer to heavily market a Linux-based netbook. Of course, small independent vendors might benefit from this as they can create a niche market for themselves. However, the presence of such netbooks would be way too small to be even counted. 
      Also, the Linux-savvy crowd is probably used to buying computers loaded with Windows and uninstalling/dual booting them. So, I don’t think a Linux user would really lust for a laptop loaded with Linux. He or she would probably look at the hardware and ergonomics first without even caring about which OS it comes with.

    • Anonymous

      Well yes, netbooks can appeal to the Linux-savvy crowd but I don’t think that would be a good reason for vendors like Samsung or Acer to heavily market a Linux-based netbook. Of course, small independent vendors might benefit from this as they can create a niche market for themselves. However, the presence of such netbooks would be way too small to be even counted. 
      Also, the Linux-savvy crowd is probably used to buying computers loaded with Windows and uninstalling/dual booting them. So, I don’t think a Linux user would really lust for a laptop loaded with Linux. He or she would probably look at the hardware and ergonomics first without even caring about which OS it comes with.

    • Anonymous

      Well yes, netbooks can appeal to the Linux-savvy crowd but I don’t think that would be a good reason for vendors like Samsung or Acer to heavily market a Linux-based netbook. Of course, small independent vendors might benefit from this as they can create a niche market for themselves. However, the presence of such netbooks would be way too small to be even counted. 
      Also, the Linux-savvy crowd is probably used to buying computers loaded with Windows and uninstalling/dual booting them. So, I don’t think a Linux user would really lust for a laptop loaded with Linux. He or she would probably look at the hardware and ergonomics first without even caring about which OS it comes with.

      • Tonhou

        Hmm I am intrigued by the term “Linux-savvy”? Many of my family use Linux and have no idea about it. I have installed an operating system that I consider to be better for them and they are using it.
        Agreed they didn’t install it, but they wouldn’t install Windows or any other operating system.
        A usable and safe operating system appeals to anyone – you don’t have to be so-called Linux-savvy.

  • Choice

    I guess a company like Microsoft is big enough to meet threats like Linux on netbook head on.  It is easy for them to offer deals when much of the vendors other hardware and customer base is MS orientated.  I am willing to bet that are probably more Linux based netbooks than ever before…we just by MS loaded ones and install Linux on it.  With MS helping to reduce the cost of a netbook by including c**pware (virus killers, crippled office software etc) clever Linux users will be doing just that.

    Microsoft regard penetration of a market as victory…that’s fine…let them have their victories, Linux does not need this any more…it has made its point, and those that are interested are free to use it or not.  We should stop considering market penetration as a goal…it never was, and Linux will never win that against a MegaCorpoartion…success is measured by the fact that Linux can offer a viable alternative, and freedom to choose. I choose freedom, others can make their own choices…

  • zman

    Nothing really “went wrong” with Linux. It is most widely used operating system on the planet by far. It drives Google, it drives Android. It drives millions of other devices as well and makes the best server systems and super computing systems you can imagine. What more can you say?
    The big proprietary software companies want to own what you do and how you do it. This model pays them well and they are not going away. As long as they can convince fools to part with their money in large sums they will keep at it, with full force.

    Now when you talk about buying a device that YOU control and have a total system solution that prevents the add-on goods and services revenue that the big blood-sucking vendors desire. –They just aren’t going to promote that model. When you use a free Linux distribution it completely cuts off their revenue stream. They will do anything to convince you to stick with their technology to avoid this. The less you know about Linux, the better for them. They will go to any means, such as negative marketing campaigns, litigation, and lobbying, to maintain their business model. —whatever it takes.

    The new and ongoing big-business model is to draw you away from general purpose computing devices, such as powerful desktop PCs and Laptops. They would rather have you driving something that “they’ control. Something more propietary. Something that you need, but will need their approval in each and every way you use it. Apple lives in this space, carefully metering out each and every use of their technology to foolish buyers. They decide when and how far you will jump to keep their business humming along.

    I am rather partial to my high-performance high-power laptop and desktop systems running Mint Linux. Unlike the latest neutered proprietary device, these systems provide everthing I need and far more–and will continue to do so into the far future.

    I would NEVER buy a netbook or any other kind of device that is not compatible with free Linux. If it can’t run Linux I don’t buy it–period. I will make an exception for a basic cell-phone, or dedicated-function hardware, but that is about it.

  • Jsp722

    I’ve just been in Indonesia, a country where you find more SUVs, where broadband is more widespread, and where you find more local people holding their Canon and Nikon SLRs than anywhere in Europe and probably US. In Jogjatronics, a big center for mobile devices and computers, what you most find are netbooks, and netbooks are mostly loaded from factory with Linux, Windows being near to non-existent. I don’t remember having seen one single iPad. I think netbooks and Linux have a great present and future.

  • http://www.facebook.com/jonquilmcd Jonquil McDaniel

    I don’t think the netbook market will die out completely, especially when people start realizing how hard it is to TYPE on a tablet (my main reason for not purchasing one – I already found out with Ipod and touch screen monitors that touch screens don’t make the greatest typing devices). There’s still room for Linux to find a place. And rather than look at Chromebooks as competitors we should be looking at them as friends since they do utilize Linux (also Android). Personally I hope they will be a success as it may mean finally getting companies like Adobe to give Linux a serious second look, which is what we REALLY need right now. Market share doesn’t mean much to a project like Linux because it’s not something you pay for anyways.

  • http://lxer.com tracyanne

    You do realise… perhaps not,  given what you’ve written… that Google’s ChromeOS is a Linux based OS, and that people buying Chromebooks will therefore be using a Linux based netbook.

    • Anonymous

      Well, yes, Chromebooks are based on Linux, but Chrome OS is proprietary. By Linux-based, I meant a netbook which runs Ubuntu or any other completely open-source distribution.
       Besides, I don’t think Google itself wants to classify Chromebook as a netbook, even though it looks and feels like one; however, it’s just a browser that costs 500$. I know, that the title may be confusing to some, so sorry about that.

      • Jim Bauwens

        Chrome OS is only very little proprietary, and uses most code from the open source Chromium OS project: http://www.chromium.org/chromium-os.
        If I remember correctly, it is based on Ubuntu and even runs X11. This means that it can be considered to be a full distro.

        • Anonymous

          No, Chrome(ium) OS is built from Gentoo. 

          “Chrome OS is only very little proprietary, and uses most code from the open source Chromium OS ”

          Well yes, Chrome OS maybe a little proprietary, but the question is how much is little? Chromebooks come with Flash support built-in, moreover, the Chrome browser itself suffers from various privacy issues. Every word that is typed gets sent to Google just to provide a more ‘personalized’ experience. All these intrusive ‘features’ will stay in Chrome OS. Also, please take a look at the consumer watchdog report which exposed Chrome’s  proprietary features :

          • Jim Bauwens

            Hmm, last time I installed it on my computer (but that is over half a year ago) it was based on ubuntu. They probably changed it now. I agree with the fact that Chrome might steal data, and that is why I use Chromium.

            Also, I’ve read (but this is again more than a half year ago) that Chrome(ium) OS might support native apps. If this would happen, it would make people create more Linux apps (which might mean that more people start using Linux to develop on).

            Anyway, I understand your point that Chrome OS might steal market share of ‘Linux’, but right now its far to limit to do that. As you can see people wanted functionality (they choose windows) over the dumbed-down preinstalled Linux distro’s on netbooks.

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  • http://www.fewt.com/ Fewt

    I still use my netbook more than my tablet.  I use them for completely different things, so I see a need for both devices.

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_HQN33JQJMVGLCY5X4IJFRVLC6E AllenB

    Am I wrong, but did not the netbook movement begin with a linux OS and truly netbook ready interface? I’m talking about the OLPC educational PC with the Sugar interface.

    • Anonymous

      Yes Linux did start the netbook movement, but Windows quickly took over the market. They have more than 90% market share, which is quite huge. Moreover, iPads and other tablets have heavily affected the netbook market. 
      I guess I won’t count OLPC in the netbook market share as it’s a completely different device based on a similar concept. 

  • Paai

    I have a few desktop machines, a laptop, a netbook and an Archos 10″ tablet.  The laptop still is used as a movable desktop in the house and the Archos is the computer for travel. But since I got the Archos, I found that the netbook has fallen in disuse…

    The Archos is great. It was easily jailbroken and after I installed openssh on it, it became a full fledged member of the home network. I got all my favorite writers as ebooks, and that seriously relieved the clutter of books around my bed and in the house (except in the bathroom :-) ) A pity that there is no NXclient for the android platform.

    Paai

  • bitdr

    On the face of it the idea of devices such as the chromebook certainly fill a need, and if you spend 100% of your time in major metropolitan centres with unlimited high-speed Internet connectivity then the world is your oyster, but do they really have an edge over a standard netbook/notebook/tablet running Linux? I don’t think they do.
    The caveat is that this type of device requires the infrastructure of the Internet to be useful. This connection must be available 100% of the time (not really an issue for the Internet in general) and it access to it must be available paid-for. The computational devices that  do not depend on the Internet (but which are capable of levering off of it) have a competitive edge in that they remain useful in the absence of the Internet connection.
    I think the existing wireless infrastructure (cellular based) will begin to groan as the usage of that method of access begins to increase. I may be wrong, perhaps enough capacity is in place, but knowing business as I do the tendency is to sell the product or service before everything is in place and smile and glad-hand the customers when the system begins sink, all the while furiously bailing in an effort to keep the ship afloat.

  • avigot

    Are Linux based netbook ever born?

  • stewartt1982

    I’m just curious … but how many linux users buy a netbook that came preinstalled with linux?  I’ve been using linux for over a decade but have yet to buy a computer or netbook that had linux preinstalled (either with no OS or windows installed).

    I imagine that the typical linux user is technologically savvy enough to install linux on their netbook regardless of what OS cam preinstalled.